GBPUSD 25th June, 2019

The depth of the decline, favors the idea that the first leg of the advance is complete and that a corrective countertrend pullback is underway. The bottom line remains that retreats should prove corrective, paving the way for further advance.

Synopsis: Cable is expected to locate support around 1.2647 and if exceeded then to 1.2614. On the upside, by moving above 1.2784, Cable would be likely to locate resistance around 1.2939 and if exceeded then to 1.3111.

Main Hourly Count

– Invalidation Point: 1.2506
– Confirmation Point: 1.2767
– Upwards Targets: 1.2645 — 1.2592
– Wave number: iii orange
– Wave structure: Motive
– Wave pattern: Impulse

Elliott Wave chart analysis for the GBPUSD for 25th June, 2019. Please click on the charts below to enlarge.

Main Daily Wave Count

For the long term, this count expects that primary wave B maroon is complete and that primary wave C maroon is unfolding towards the downside likely as an ending diagonal.

Within wave C maroon, waves (1) through (4) black are complete and wave (5) black is underway.

Within wave (5) black, wave A blue is complete and wave B blue is in force as a zigzag correction labeled waves a, b and c pink with waves a and b pink complete and wave c pink is in its early stages.

Wave a pink unfolded as a leading diagonal labeled waves (i) through (v) green.

Wave b pink unfolded as a zigzag labeled waves (a), (b) and (c) green.

This count would be initially confirmed by movement above 1.3178 and the final confirmation point is at 1.3383.

At 1.3485 wave c pink would have traveled the same distance as wave a pink and at 1.3620 wave B blue would have traveled 0.618 times the length of wave A blue.

This count would be invalidated by movement below 1.2400 as wave b pink may not retrace more than 100 % of wave a pink.

Main Hourly Wave Count

This count suggests that wave b pink is complete and that wave c pink started to unfold upwards with wave (i) green underway.

Wave v orange of wave b pink unfolded as an impulse labeled waves 1 through 5 purple.

Within wave c pink, (i) green is underway with wave i orange complete and wave ii orange is in its late stages.

This count would be confirmed by movement below 1.2662.

At 1.2647 wave ii orange would have traveled 50 % times the length of wave i orange and at 1.2614 wave ii orange would have traveled 0.618 times the length of wave i orange.

This count would be invalidated by movement below 1.2605 as wave ii orange may not retrace more than 100 % times the length of wave i orange.

Alternate Hourly Wave Count

The only difference between both main and alternate counts is within the subdivisions of wave ii orange as this count expects that wave ii is complete and that wave iii has commenced.

This count would be confirmed by movement above 1.2784.

At 1.2939 wave iii orange would have traveled the same distance as wave i orange. And at 1.3111 wave iii orange would have traveled 1.618 times the length of wave i orange.

This count would be invalidated by movement below 1.2605 as wave ii orange may not retrace more than 100 % times the length of wave i orange. Please keep in mind that once we have confirmation that wave iii orange is underway, the invalidation point will be moved to the end of wave ii orange.

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