GBPUSD 25th January, 2019

Cable extended its advance and the cited target was reached and exceeded. Today, we are going to discuss one hourly count. At this stage, backing and filling should prove corrective, paving the way for for further rallies.

Synopsis: A corrective retreat toward 1.3129 – 1.3073 should set the stage for further advance.

Main Hourly Count

– Invalidation Point: 1.2897
– Confirmation Point: —
– Downwards Targets: 1.3129 — 1.3073
– Wave number: iv orange
– Wave structure: Corrective
– Wave pattern: Zigzag

Elliott Wave chart analysis for the GBPUSD for 25th January, 2019. Please click on the charts below to enlarge.

Main Daily Wave Count

For the long term, this count expects that primary wave B maroon is complete and that primary wave C maroon is unfolding towards the downside likely as an ending diagonal.

Within wave C maroon intermediate waves (1) and (2) black are complete and intermediate wave (3) black is underway.
Wave (2) black unfolded as a double zigzag labeled waves W, X and Y blue.

Wave W blue unfolded as a zigzag labeled waves a, b and c pink with wave c pink unfolding as an impulse labeled waves (i) through (v) green.

Wave Y blue unfolded as a zigzag labeled waves a, b and c pink with wave a pink unfolding as an impulse labeled waves (i) through (v) green.

It is worth noting that wave (v) green was a truncated fifth wave.

Wave (3) black is unfolding as a zigzag labeled waves A, X and C blue with waves A blue complete and wave B blue is at its early stages.

Wave A blue within wave (3) black unfolded as a leading diagonal labeled i through v pink.

This count will be confirmed by movement above 1.2928.

At 1.3155 wave B blue would have traveled 0.382 times the length of wave A blue. Then at 1.3388 wave B blue would have reached 50 % of the length of wave A blue.

This count would be invalidated by movement below 1.2400 as within wave B blue no B wave may retrace more than 100 % of its A wave.

Ultimately, wave (3) black should push below the 1.1790 swing low. We want to see more price action before calculating short-term targets.

Main Hourly Wave Count

This count suggests that within wave A blue is complete and that wave B blue has started.

Within wave B blue, waves (i) and (ii) green are complete and that wave (iii) green has started unfolding towards the upside.

Within wave (iii) green, waves i through iii orange are complete and wave iv orange has started toward the downside.

At 1.3129 wave iv orange would have traveled 0.236 times the length of wave iii orange and at 1.3073 wave iv orange would have traveled 0.382 times the length of wave iii orange.

This count would be invalidated by movement below 1.2897 as wave iv orange may not enter the price territory of wave i orange. As well, this count would be invalidated by movement above 1.3218 as within wave iv orange no B wave may retrace more than 100 % of its A wave.

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